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Here are Chiefs' updated playoff odds based on win or loss vs. Texans in Week 14

The floundering Chiefs officially reached the 'must win' portion of their season.

Fresh off yet another disappointing one-score loss to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, yet another close game the three-time defending AFC champions could have won, Kansas City sits at just 6-6. If you thought things were desperate heading into Dallas, the latest playoff projections paint a far more sobering outlook.

While there are a number of factors at play, one of the easiest ways to gauge the importance of individual games heading into each comes via Sebastian Carl (follow @mrcaseb on X), an NFL modeling wiz who provides leverage data for every game.

What does that mean in English? Based on 50

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