Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Aug 12 2025

817

WTNT45 KNHC 130238

TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Erin Discussion Number 7

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025

1100 PM AST Tue Aug 12 2025

Deep convection has returned near Erin this evening, though it

appears to mostly be west of the center. An ASCAT pass from a few

hours ago showed maximum winds of about the same magnitude as the

earlier data, 35-40 kt, though it did display a larger area of

tropical-storm-force winds. With no significant change in the

satellite intensity estimates, the initial wind speed remains 40 kt.

The environment around Erin gradually gets more conducive for

strengthening during the next day or so, including a slow rise in

SSTs and instability. By late Thursday, SSTs rise above 28C with

continu

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