You know all the clichés. Risk/reward. Boom/bust. As much upside as downside. He’s “better in best ball.” Football is a volatile game — the unavoidable fate of a sport where the world’s most athletic 6-foot-2, 230-pound athletes are diving at your knees — but some players highlight the fact better than others. Going round by round through the first eight frames, here’s a look at some of the draft picks most likely to either single-handedly win or lose you your fantasy league. Players whose range of outcomes vary more widely than most.

A note on ADP data: There is no shortage of wonderful fantasy football services and unique ADPs, but for the purposes of this article I will use Sleeper’s PPR data, which meets somewhere in the middle of the more hardcore and casual platforms.

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