After Erin buzzes by our coast on Wednesday, another system may take its place soon.

Out in the heart of the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave is stirring near the Leeward Islands. This system is the next in line to organize into a tropical storm, possibly, but that shouldn’t happen until the weekend. For now, it’s nothing more than a sprawling cluster of showers and thunderstorms—messy and unorganized—but the environment ahead looks increasingly favorable for gradual development.

If it does strengthen, the system is expected to trace a path similar to that of Hurricane Erin, moving west to west-northwest at about 20 mph. By Friday, it should be approaching the vicinity of the Leeward Islands. The odds of something spinning up remain low in the near termat just 10% over the next two day

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