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A few mysteries remain about the Russian drones that swarmed into Poland’s skies Wednesday night, but a few things are all but certain—none of them pleasant—about Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intentions and President Donald Trump’s response.

First, it’s worth noting that the incident—involving 19 drones flying over Poland during a seven-hour span—was not an armed attack. Evidence from the debris (most of the drones were shot down) indicates they were Gerbera models , designed for surveillance or as decoys. That is, they are used either to shoot aerial videos of targets on the ground or to prod Ukrainians or their allies to turn on their radar and mobil

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