Entering Week 13 of the 2025 NFL regular season, Ali Bhanpuri digs into the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model, which provides detailed estimates of each contending team's postseason chances. During live games, playoff probabilities are dynamically updated every five minutes, incorporating the latest win probabilities from NGS for all ongoing games in every simulation. Visit NFL.com's Playoff Picture for a live look at the latest postseason odds. For more context around terms like "If win," "If lose" and "playoff leverage" click here .

NOTE: All probabilities presented are current as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Nov. 25 unless otherwise noted below.

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On the bubble

Still in the hunt

Division races

Remaining strength of schedule rankings

NFL playoff picture entering Week 1

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