This update follows closely behind Colorado State University’s (CSU) Aug. 6 release, which also held firm on a highly active forecast for the rest of the season.

What’s changed in NOAA’s outlook?

Compared to NOAA’s initial May forecast, the Aug. 7 update slightly reduces the overall range for named storms and hurricanes by one, though it still calls for an above-average season.

NOAA is predicting 13 to 18 named storms, including five to nine hurricanes, with two to five expected to become major hurricanes, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. During an average year, the Atlantic basin sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

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So far, everything's going at a near-normal pace, but conditions are becoming much more favor

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