California Governor Gavin Newsom is slightly more likely than New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) to win the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028.

According to online betting website Polymarket, a platform where users can place "yes" or "no" bets on the likelihood of world events, Newsom is leading the progressive firebrand by 4 percentage points in a hypothetical matchup that also includes other high-profile Democratic figures.

Neither candidate has formally announced a presidential run but both have sparked speculation that they may run as they boosted their social media presence and attended rallies across America.

Why It Matters

While the next presidential election is over three years away, Democrats have appeared divided been in the wake of then-Vice P

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