Bryan Norcross: Tropical Disturbance 97L is likely to be named Erin this week

Updated at 9:45 a.m. ET on Aug. 11, 2025.

On average, the first hurricane of the season develops on this date – August 11. Obviously, we don't have one yet, but the long-range prediction is that the weather pattern will be supportive of a hurricane in the Atlantic in less than a week.

The increasingly organized tropical disturbance just past the Cabo Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic is on the verge of becoming a tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center's forecast is that the disturbance will develop into a depression or Tropical Storm Erin shortly. The computer forecasts uniformly agree.

The NHC has shrunk the potential development area thinking the system will organize very soon. They have the odds of development in the high category. But we’ll see if the dust has ot