A transition from El Niño-Southern Oscillation-neutral conditions to La Niña conditions is looking likely, according to a Sept. 11 outlook by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center .

As revealed by the center, there is a 71% chance of La Niña from October through December. From there, La Niña is favored. However, the odds decrease to 54% from December through February 2026.

But what does this mean and how will it impact New York?

What is La Niña?

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle, otherwise known as the ENSO cycle — is a recurring climate pattern pertaining to changes in the water temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, according to the weather service .

Over time, the sea surface temperatures tend to either warm up or cool down. Th

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